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Analysis of Equity investments: Valuation

economy


Analysis of Equity investments: Valuation



Contents

The equity valuation process.

Discounted dividend valuation.

Free cash flow valuation.

Market-Based Valuation: Price Multiples.

Residual income Valuation.

1. The equity valuation process

1.1. Introduction.

1.2. The scope of equity valuation.

1.3. Valuation concepts and models.

1.4. Analyst roles and responsibilities.

1.5. Effective research report.

1.6. Summary.

Valuation - is an estimation of an assets value, based on either on variables related to future investments returns or on comparison with similar assets.

Analyst does;

Selects stocks. (common share in U.K. is called ordinary share). Identify if the security is fairly valued, over or undervalued.

Inferring or extracting market expectations. Fundamentals. Free cash flow models.

Evaluating corporate events. (Mergers, Acquisitions, divestitures, spin-offs, managements buy-outs MBOs, leveraged recapitalizations).

Communicating with analysts and shareholders

Appraising private businesses. (IPOs, marketability discounts)

The investment process has three steps: planning, execution, feedback (evaluating results, monitoring and rebalancing).

Planning - specification of investments objectives and constraints, elaboration of investment strategy, active investment strategy, differential expectation)

Execution - portfolio selection/composition decision.

1.3. Valuation concepts and models

Valuation process:

Understanding the business (industry analysis, corporate strategy.

Forecasting company performance.

Selecting appropriate valuation model.

Converting forecasts to valuations.

Making the investment decision.

UNDERSTANDING THE BUSINESS. Top-down investing and bottom-up investing styles.

FINANCIAL FORECASTING.

Financial strength: EBITDA/interest expense

Debt paying ability: Debt/EBITDA

What is active investments strategies?

What is pro-forma analysis?

What is bill-and-hold sales?

What is high pension discount rate?

What is a special purpose entity?

Positions:

Investments bankers.

Corporate analysts.

Investments analysts.


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