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Weekly Political Report

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Weekly Political Report


Weekly Political Report

English Version

18 - 24 July, 2008

Week in review

EU Commission has presented this week its report on Romania Justice. The event was preceded by an extension of the criminal investigation towards the former vice prime minister, conservative George Copos, who will have now to face new criminal charges (more exactly he was accused for manipulating the capital market).

As this file was handled by the anti - corruption prosecutors (DNA) it can be said that this institution has tried until the last days prior to the EU report to impose the image of its good perform 13313w2218n ances. As for the report:

Romania less criticized than Bulgaria 

The facts:

EU Commission' report signaled Romania's Justice vulnerabilities and criticized the lack of results into Justice courts in high corruption cases.

The Superior Counsel of Magistrates (CSM), the Parliament and the Government were mentioned mostly in a negative context.

CSM has been criticized for being slow in coming to management and disciplinary decisions and also for giving often inconsequential sanctions.

The parliament was criticized for politisating the anti-corruption fight, while the Cabinet was advised to minimize the use of government ordinances procedure.

EU Commission's report stated that the monitoring process will continue for another year.

Bulgaria was even more severely criticized. EU Commission has decided to block the funds allocated to the Justice' reform programs from Bulgaria.

The interpretation:

Bulgaria being criticized harder than Romania, the general perception was that things could have been worst, attenuating the negative message of the report.

The report highlighted the same ideas supported in previous Traian Basescu's interventions.

However the report was surprisingly speculated politically at a very low level. Traian Basescu did not make any public comment on the Report, even though he took part (after the public presentation of the EU Report) at a meeting of CSM.

The subject visibility faded in the last days, but the report will continue to be debated by analysts and politicians as a new important event will take place soon.

In August the Justice Minister will have to announce if whether Daniel Morar, leader of anti-corruption prosecutors, will be nominated or not for a new mandate. The stake is extremely high, considering that from this position can be influenced a more active or a slower evolution of specific corruption cases against top politicians.

 


In the same time, new discussions about the parliamentary elections took place.

Uninominal system of voting remains on the public agenda

The facts:

The Senate Committee on the Electoral Code has sent its proposals for establishing the exact boundaries of each uninominal College to the Cabinet. The parliament Committee however did not finish the mapping of each college, along with two other counties, Bucharest's delimitation of each uninominal college remaining to be settled by the Cabinet.

The Cabinet has announced that will emit next week a Government Ordinance in which will be adopted the proposals made by the Parliament Committee. In the same occasion will be announced the uninominal colleges for Bucharest and for the two other counties which were not discussed by the Parliament.

Great Romania Party (PRM), a nationalist parliamentary party, has announced that it will contest to the Constitutional Court the government ordinance which is going to be released next week. PRM is contesting the Cabinet's right of establishing just by his own will the uninominal colleges' boundaries for Bucharest and two other counties.

The interpretation:

Very likely next week the Cabinet will announce the final uninominal colleges' list.

As Great Romania Party is not advantaged by the new voting system, their action on the Constitutional Court against the government ordinance has great chances of being started.

Even though there is only a very low probability on this action's success, the Constitutional Court decision may be unpredictable. In the last two years the Court has taken a lot of controversial decisions. An acceptance of the PRM contestation will provoke immediately a post pone in introducing the new voting system for 2012. Evolution that may also be desired by PD-L as the party will strongly benefit if the present system will be preserved also for this parliamentary elections.

 


What worth being said is that different liberal officials have stated in the last week that the parliamentary elections will be held at the end of November 2008. Considering that also the minimum wage will increase from this autumn, and also the public pensions, the political messages on November elections can be taken into consideration.

Finally, it must be remarked that PD-L president Emil Boc has announced that he will resign if the party will not gain the government after the next parliamentary elections and that he will not be the party nominee for the prime minister position, and also that an important informal leader of PD-L (in the same time former president of PNL) Valeriu, Stoica, has stated that PD-Land PNL should join again forces. Both of these messages can be regarded both as political messages, first one being aimed on showing the confidence in the party's success in the parliamentary elections, and the second one on showing that PNL has other opportunities than joining hands with PSD.

 


Upcoming period

The political debates will remained focused on two major directions: anti corruption fight (related this time to the future head prosecutor of DNA) and economical issues (as the social democrats will continue to put pressure on the Cabinet in order to increase even stronger, or even faster the pensions and wages.


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