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Use good reasoning to make your own good decisions or arguments

psychology


Use good reasoning to make your own good decisions or arguments

What is a good thinker? Look up The Mind's Best Work by D. N. Perkins (1981) for outstanding examples, but for ordinary, everyday thinkers Ruggiero (1975) says:

  • He/she has good ability--a vivid imagination and accurate intuition.
  • He/she tries to understand the issue, including noting and questioning his/her own reaction to the issue before accepting his/her first impressions.
  • He/she carefully decides what evidence is needed to solve the problem and gathers the data accurately.
  • He/she draws a tentative conclusion based on the facts, avoiding "pat" and emotionally appealing answers. 11511n136l

In the simplest sense, one might say that the best way to win an argument is to be right (see chapter 13). Being "on the side of truth" gives you enormous advantage. But we can never know the truth for sure. That is why scientists speak a special language, such as "the data suggests...," "the difference is significant at the .05 level" and so on. A scientist is never certain; only true believers (basing their opinions on faith) are certain.



If a man's actions are not guided by thoughtful conclusions, then they are guided by inconsiderate impulse, unbalanced appetite, caprice, or the circumstances of the moment.
-John Dewey

In contrast to the poor arguments discussed in step 1, Missimer (1986) says Good Arguments have these characteristics:

  • Define your terms and the issue clearly, then state your claim--what you believe to be true or should be done--and give your reasons. This is the essence of an argument, it consists of an issue, conclusions, and reasons.
  • A critical thinker, listening to an argument, will look for alternative arguments and try to improve the reasoning. Try arguing for the opposite conclusion. Try opposing the reasons given by the other person. Try acknowledging the validity of the opponent's reasons, but argue that your reasons for a different conclusion are stronger than his/her reasons. If that isn't possible, look for exceptions, places where his/her reasoning doesn't hold up, e.g. you say school/work is boring, but Jane/John loves school/work. Look for big factors that have been overlooked or for the strongest-case kind of argument. Finally, maybe it is clear that more evidence is needed before a conclusion can be reached, in which case suggest some fact-finding experimentation.
  • Ask, "How good is the evidence?" Evidence may be based on scientific experimentation, after-the-fact correlations (smoking and cancer), case studies (the effects of divorce on children), or an appeal to the most convincing situation (torture is justified to save hundreds of lives). Doubt any claim that something has been "proven;" scientists say, "the evidence to date suggests...." Search for and collect evidence for a different conclusion. Evaluate the data, the supporting facts, and the reasoning; ask yourself repeatedly how strongly the conclusion is supported by the evidence.

When reasoning deductively, you start with a statement about "all," "every" or "only," and the conclusion logically follows: (1) Everyone in my group of friends likes rock music. (2) Bill is in my group. (3) Therefore, Bill likes rock. The real question is if (1), the generalization, is accurate.

When using another form of reasoning called inductive, you start with some specific observations and draw generalizations: (1) I noticed that many students in my school like rock music. (2) Therefore, "most" students like rock music. The question here is: Have you made enough accurate observations to warrant making the "inductive leap" to most students in your school? to students in the state? to students everywhere in the world? Statisticians use careful sampling techniques and statistics to make accurate predictions, such as what people will buy or how they will vote.

  • Look for the assumptions being made. If someone says, "Abortion is murder," one has to question the term murder. The dictionary says murder is the killing of one human being by another. When is a fetus a human being? When its heart beats (15 days)? When it has brain waves (4th month)? When it has a 50-50 chance of surviving on its own without massive medical assistance? When he/she is born at full-term? These are unprovable personal opinions, individual beliefs, but they are critical to the idea of murder. Unfortunately, emotional issues, like "Abortion is murder," get infused with dogmatic religious beliefs which the believers would like to force on others.

If someone says, "Students are either serious or party animals," the assumption is being made that students can not be both serious and party-lovers and that students can not be disinterested in both studies and parties.

In most arguments, there are many assumptions about both values and facts. Many are subtle, e.g. that hiring the "best person" is better than affirmative action, that personal gain is of more value than serving others, that expressing anger reduces future anger, and so on. Uncover the assumptions being made and decide if you agree with them.

Rather than being a hostile debater and trying to win, try to think constructively, i.e. by thinking together perhaps you and the other person can come closer to the truth.


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